Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 3.141859 3.685804 4.266045 4.927958 5.658997 6.438683 7.330053
2024-10-13 2.416419 3.172329 4.039496 5.094427 6.329596 7.717019 9.380009
2024-10-20 1.867756 2.733395 3.796253 5.164951 6.848371 8.820157 11.272244
2024-10-27 1.410644 2.306980 3.484068 5.083191 7.139230 9.636706 12.840476
2024-11-03 1.146631 2.075835 3.371003 5.212018 7.666169 10.734184 14.765144
2024-11-10 0.930930 1.865923 3.246799 5.294145 8.113695 11.728654 16.577043
2024-11-17 0.714571 1.606719 3.010324 5.185298 8.281254 12.351127 17.919998
2024-11-24 0.540526 1.375081 2.776953 5.046410 8.381017 12.868664 19.123442
2024-12-01 0.423166 1.214545 2.628435 5.009527 8.606781 13.546250 20.538701
2024-12-08 0.325258 1.064289 2.472552 4.940008 8.770253 14.131872 21.834147
2024-12-15 0.285977 1.028417 2.508054 5.170495 9.377707 15.340744 23.987702
2024-12-22 0.230134 0.937423 2.429977 5.205472 9.686987 16.133911 25.586826
2024-12-29 0.205861 0.920963 2.494091 5.488105 10.395210 17.526459 28.061654
2025-01-05 0.178080 0.886678 2.518904 5.704078 11.007855 18.798184 30.397504
2025-01-12 0.144776 0.823824 2.476888 5.798214 11.429987 19.802553 32.378876
2025-01-19 0.106362 0.725568 2.344596 5.717993 11.566124 20.387579 33.777799
2025-01-26 0.087796 0.687082 2.336752 5.862057 12.066531 21.517527 35.964106
2025-02-02 0.069960 0.640887 2.303499 5.953273 12.478996 22.520457 37.980365
2025-02-09 0.047939 0.558099 2.168168 5.835992 12.535281 22.983940 39.224534
2025-02-16 0.030749 0.478482 2.023706 5.685464 12.523580 23.337392 40.308683
2025-02-23 0.020667 0.425786 1.938673 5.645567 12.696178 23.972809 41.809434
2025-03-02 0.012818 0.373002 1.841363 5.570040 12.799757 24.498944 43.153180
2025-03-09 0.010965 0.371682 1.895665 5.820748 13.488600 25.953081 45.889080